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Computing Hurst Exponent

dm46.html;     cm92 site;   cm92.html

References:

Papers (not available on the net)

  • Karner, 2001
  • Koutsoyiannis, 2002
  • Koutsoyiannis, 2003
  • Koutsoyiannis, 2006
  • Koutsoyiannis-Efstratiadis-2007
  • Qian and Rasheed, 2003
  • Simonsen et al, 1998
  • Taqqu et al, 1995
  • Teverovsky et al, 1998

    Web Pages

    •••Exploring the Market with Hurst
    •••Estimating the Hurst Exponent ••• C++ software for Hurst (see e.g. /hurst/src/rescaled_range.cpp)
    •••Investopedia, R/S••• ====>See also Qian-Rasheed (2003) above
    •••The Hurst Exponent: Predictability of Time Series (2012)
    •••Jan Beran: Statistics for Long-Memory Processes (1994)-- Google Books.

    ===>SSS=Simple Scaling Stochastic process

    Slides

    Koutsoyiannis 2006. Lecture at Georgia Tech. and Duke Univ.

    Plots, Figures        
    Nile Minimum Level 622-1469 (pdf) (png)
    Nile Diff. (pdf) (png) First difference
    Nile ACF (pdf) (png) Ho=0.833; Hd=0.5Power Ho=0.811
    Nile Power (pdf) (png) Hpow=0.811
    Nile Diff. (pdf) (png)
    Nile SSS, Compare (pdf) (png) Hsss=0.872 Plot log(n)-log(StD)
    Brown72 (pdf) (png)
    Brown72 Deriv (pdf) (png)
    Brown72 ACF (pdf) (png) Ho=0.699; Hd=0.558Power H0=0.66; Real Ho=0.72
    Brown72 Power (pdf) (png) Hpow=0.66; Real=0.72
    Brown72 SSS (pdf) (png) Hsss=0.96 Real Ho=0.72
    Data        
    Nile dataset (txt) nile1.txt
    Nile MEM (out)
    Nile ACF (out) Ho=0.833; Hd=0.5Power Ho=0.811
    Nile Power (out) Linear fit of log Power Ho=0.811
    Nile ACF Diff (out)
    Nile SSS (txt)
    Nile SSS STAT (out) STAT.OUT for SSS Nile
    Nile SSS Poly (out) POLY.OUT for SSS Nile
    Brown72 data (txt)
    Brown72 ACF (out)
    Brown72 Power (out) Linear fit of log Power Hpow=0.66
    Brown72 MEM (out)
    Brown72 Deriv (txt)
    Brown72 Der ACF (out) Ho=0.699; Hd=0.558Power H0=0.66; Real Ho=0.72
    Brown72 Der MEM (out)
    Brown72 SSS (txt)
    Brown72 SSS Stat (out)


    Code
    nile1.bon, hnile.bon, acf-nile.bon, nile-pow.bon, hurst-prova.bon, nile-pow.bon,
    ssh.bon, sss.bon,
    brown72.bon, brown72h.bon, brown72-acf.bon, brown72-pow.bon, sshb.bon, sssb.bon,
    brownold.f, rsmbrown.f, rsm.f, sss.f,
    rsmb.f, sssb.f, .f, f,


    Page Written: August 23, 2018,        Last Updated: