| |
(legenda: l+s=line+sin; pw=piecewise; |
l=line; nl=non-linear=afit08)
| |
| --------------- | --------------- |
---------------- | -------------- |
| Plots using BIC |
| Bayesan Information Content | e.g. Menne, 2006 |
| Yearly averaged anomalies |
(pdf)
(png) | NOAA data through August 2013 | |
| Break Points | (pdf) (png) | NOAA 0813 yearly | break points (bp) |
| Residuals | (pdf) (png) | NOAA 0813 yearly | from l;l+s;nl,pw |
| ACF 12 lags | (pdf) (png) | 0813: l;l+s;pw residuals | |
| ACF 70 lags | (pdf) (png) | 0813: l;l+s;pw residuals | |
| Data & Afit08 | (pdf) (png) | NOAA 0813 yearly | afit08 |
| ----- | ---- | ---- | |
| Data | |
| |
| Yearly averaged anomalies |
0813.dat | through August 2013 | NOAA
series |
| BIC process | bicf.out |
bic params & residuals | pw;l;l+s,nl |
| Data fitting | | of all data |
l;l+s,pw,nl |
| | fit1-0813.out |
year, (o-c),(o-c)^2 | all,l; |
| | fit2-0813.out |
year, (o-c),(o-c)^2 | all,l+s; |
| | afit60y.out |
non-linear fit output | all,nl; |
| | afit-0813y.out |
year, (o-c),(o-c)^2 | all,nl; |
| | fit2.out |
year, (o-c),(o-c)^2 | 1880-1910 |
| | fit3.out |
year, (o-c),(o-c)^2 | 1911-1945 |
| | fit4.out |
year, (o-c),(o-c)^2 | 1946-1975 |
| | fit5.out |
year, (o-c),(o-c)^2 | 1976-2001 |
| | fit6.out |
year, (o-c),(o-c)^2 | 2002-2013/Aug |
| Fits parameters | poly.app |
Parameters of all fits | |
| Auto-Correlation Function | of all data (l;l+s;pw;nl) |
;pw segments | |
| 12 lags | acf1-0813.out |
lag, acf | all,l; |
| | acf2-0813.out |
lag, acf | all,l+s; |
| | acf-afit.out |
lag, acf | all,nl; |
| | acf-pw.out |
lag, acf | all,pw; |
| | acf2.out |
lag, acf | 1880-1910 |
| | acf3.out |
lag, acf | 1911-1945 |
| | acf4.out |
lag, acf | 1946-1975 |
| | acf5.out |
lag, acf | 1976-2001 |
| | acf6.out |
lag, acf | 2002-2013/Aug |
| Auto-Correlation Function | of all data (l;l+s;pw,nl) |
| |
| 70 lags | acf70-l.out |
lag, acf | all,l; |
| | acf70-ls.out |
lag, acf | all,l+s; |
| | acf70-afit.out |
lag, acf | all,nl; |
| | acf70-pw.out |
lag, acf | all,pw; |